Shares of Kawasaki Heavy Industries Ltd. plunged the most in eight years after the company cut its full-year profit forecast by more than half and said it was reviewing whether to continue its shipbuilding business.
The stock fell 11 percent to close at 276 yen in Tokyo on Monday, the biggest drop since October 2008. It was the worst performer on the Nikkei 225 Stock Average, which rose 0.9 percent.
The net income will probably be 16.5 billion yen ($163 million) in the year ending March 31, 66 percent less than an earlier forecast of 49 billion yen because of a stronger local currency and losses at its ship operations, Kawasaki Heavy said in a statement after trading hours on Sept. 30.
The Kobe, Japan-based company also said it expects a loss of 5 billion yen for the half year ended Sept. 30 after booking a 13 billion-yen loss from a Brazilian drill-ship project, a Norwegian plan to build an offshore vessel, and a liquid natural gas ship.
The scenario
Kawasaki Heavy joins companies including Singapore’s Keppel Corp. whose ship and offshore-structure operations have fallen victim to a plunge in oil prices in the past two years amid global economic weakness and reduced customer spending. The company said it will conduct a “radical review” of its business structure, establish a reform panel to look into the future direction of the ship business, including its continuity, and announce its decision by the year ending March 31.
The analysis
Shinji Kuroda and Yuan Qi, analysts at Credit Suisse Group AG in Tokyo, wrote in a note that they expected the cuts but did not expect them to be so large. The future existence of the ship and offshore structure business is “up in the air,”. The analysts reiterated their underperform rating and have a stock-price estimate of 260 yen.
Financial lookout
Full-year operating profit will probably reach 34 billion yen compared with 70 billion yen previously forecast, said the company, also a maker of motorcycles and industrial equipment. Kawasaki Heavy cut the full-year revenue forecast to 1.51 trillion yen from a previous projection of 1.57 trillion yen.
The company has been hit by the bankruptcy of Sete Brasil Participacoes SA, which filed for protection from creditors in April, which led Kawasaki Heavy to write off 5 billion yen for a drill ship, it said in the statement.
Scenario at Asian Shipbuilders
Asian shipbuilders, including the world’s top three shipyards, all South Korean, are selling assets and cutting jobs as dwindling orders lead to losses or smaller profits.
The ship and offshore-structure operation accounted for 6.2 percent of Kawasaki Heavy’s sales last fiscal year, making it the smallest business by revenue, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Manpower
Kawasaki Heavy had about 2,500 employees in its ship-related business at the end of March, according to the company. Japan had about 60,000 people working in the shipbuilding industry as of April 2014, according to figures from the Shipbuilders’ Association of Japan.
The yen has gained 19 percent against the dollar this year and traded at 101.28 versus the greenback as of 4:21 p.m. in Tokyo. The company now expects the yen to average 102 against the dollar for the year ending March 31, compared with a July estimate of 110, according to the Sept. 30 statement.
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Source: Bloomberg
