Capesize Rates Poised to Firm as Ballasting Ships Reduce

12

On the C5 front, we see enquiries for miners and operators for early November dates. Volumes out of East Australia remain flat from last week with a tick up in enquiries from others fronts of the pacific. 

Capesize Market

The Capesize sector is experiencing flat volumes in one area but is seeing a reduction in available ships, suggesting a potential firming of rates.

  • Pacific Activity: Enquiries are noted from miners and operators for early November dates on the C5 route (Western Australia/China). Volumes out of East Australia remain flat, though there is a small increase in enquiries from other areas of the Pacific.
  • Atlantic Focus: For the C3 (Brazil/China) and West Africa routes, the focus is on mid and end November dates.
  • Tonnage Supply: The number of ballasting ships is slowly decreasing, and spot tonnage out of the Far East is slightly tighter, which is partly attributed to cold weather affecting North China.
  • Fixture Levels: Midweek saw C5 fixtures concluded in the mid-to-high USD 10 per metric tonne (pmt) range, while the C3 route was trading at low USD 24 pmt levels.

Panamax Market

The Panamax market presented a divided picture, with strength in the Pacific contrasting with uncertainty in the Atlantic.

  • Pacific Momentum: Asian sentiment was firm, providing positive momentum driven by strong Indonesian demand and the emergence of fresh cargo requirements. The combination of increased demand and a tightening tonnage list forced charterers to “pay up,” pushing rates higher.
  • Atlantic Mixed Direction: The Atlantic market lacked a clear direction. The North Atlantic held flat, supported by steady Transatlantic volumes that absorbed spot vessels.
  • South Atlantic Lag: The East Coast South America (ECSA) market remained quiet and uninspiring, stalled by a wide bid-offer spread and minimal fixing activity.

Supramax Market

The overall Supramax market was subdued, with widespread pressure in the Atlantic and limited period activity, though Asia provided some positive counterbalance.

  • Atlantic Pressure: The Atlantic remained largely under pressure. The US Gulf (USG) faced challenges due to ample prompt tonnage and softer demand. The South Atlantic also showed a lack of momentum.
  • Continent-Mediterranean: This region showed mixed tones, with some fixing activity emanating from the East Mediterranean, but others felt that rate levels had already plateaued.
  • Asian Support: Asia maintained a slightly firmer tone, supported by steady Indonesian (Indo) rounds and consistent demand from the North.
  • Period Activity: Activity in the long-term period market remained slow, with very few deals reported during the week.

Did you subscribe to our daily Newsletter?

It’s Free Click here to Subscribe!

Source: Fearnleys