- Unwinding of logistics logjam to determine the direction of rates in the coming months.
- Port congestion at this scale has not been seen in China since the halcyon days of the 2000s.
- ALMOST 6% of the world’s bulk carrier fleet is at anchor off Chinese ports as rising port congestion underpins bulk carrier rates, now at their highest in 11 years.
- Some 599 bulk carriers (over 10,000 dwt) totalling 52.6m dwt are tracked at key anchorages along the Chinese coast, according to Lloyd’s List Intelligence data compiled by Lloyd’s List.
A recent news article published in the Lloyd’s List by Michelle Wiese Bockmann states that one in 20 bulk carriers caught in China port congestion.
The massive logistics logjam
The massive logistics logjam means that nearly one in every 20 ships from the global fleet of some 11,850 bulk carriers is now waiting at ports in China to either load or discharge cargo.
Coronavirus restrictions that have delayed berthing are responsible for worsening already lengthy queues as ports struggle to deal surging grain, minerals and iron ore imports.
The biggest chokepoint is in northern China, where 238 bulk carriers exceeding 16.3m dwt are tied up and awaiting to berth at grain and coal terminals at Jingjiang, Tianjin, Qinhuangdao and Jinhou.
Shanghai and Ningbo
Shanghai and Ningbo — already subject to extensive containership congestion after a box terminal was shut earlier this month after a worker tested positive for coronavirus — is the next most-congested.
There are 207 bulk carriers, of 14.9m dwt at anchor, Lloyd’s List Intelligence data show.
Congestion has been rising for the past two months and appears to be steadying in the country’s north.
565 ships includes 270 bulk carriers
Some 565 ships including 270 bulk carriers of 17.4m dwt were tracked in northern China in the Bohai Sea on July 21, some 30 more vessels than seen five weeks later.
Cargo operations on ships calling from foreign countries cannot begin and the vessel must await at anchorage until PCR tests have been carried out on all crew, a port operations manual cited by Lloyd’s List shows.
At some ports, the tests are carried out when the vessel berths, while at others any ships whose last call was India, or another country where there are high rates of infection, the ship must quarantine at anchor outside the port for between two weeks and 28 days.
Alvaro Baradit Espinoza, operations manager for Chilean handysize vessel owner Nachipa, said that Chinese health authorities on the Yangtze River are asking that boarding agents, terminal labourers and stevedores isolate after attending each vessel, adding to problems.
“Due to the new breakout at Nanjing a few weeks ago, the Yangtze River area is now very restricted due to the lack of pilots at CJK pilot stations for upriver navigation,” he said in an email distributed to Lloyd’s List.
Port congestion at this scale has not been seen in China since the halcyon days of the 2000s, when China’s entry into the World Trade Organisation triggered the commodities super-cycle that spurred bulk carrier rates into levels beyond $200,000 per day by 2008.
London-based Arrow Shipbroking
London-based Arrow Shipbroking said unwinding of heavy congestion in China would determine future rate directions for bulk carrier charters.
“Tonnage supply remains very tight in the Atlantic for September dates,” said analyst Burak Cetinok. “While it [congestion] has stabilised recently, it remains well above the long-term average; as of the end of last week, about 17% of the capesize fleet was tied up in congestion globally.
“If congestion remains elevated over the next few days, we could expect capesize earnings to push higher this week.”
The global fleet of bulk carriers over 10,000 dwt is estimated at around 11,850 ships, totalling 917.3m dwt, according to shipbrokers Simpson Spence & Young’s most recent monthly report.
That included the capesize fleet of nearly 1,900 ships (78m dwt) and more than 2,900 panamax ships.
Did you subscribe to our daily newsletter?
It’s Free! Click here to Subscribe!
Source: Lloyd’s List
