Container Market Outlook Shows Rate Softening as Global Capacity Builds

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Linerlytica reports in its latest weekly update that the container shipping market remained under pressure in Week 46, with freight rates easing on major trade lanes as additional vessel capacity continued to enter the market. The weekly pulse outlines key developments in market fundamentals, including rate movements, chartering activity, and fleet renewal trends.

According to the report, spot freight rates weakened further across several long-haul corridors. On the transpacific trade, downward pressure persisted as scheduled capacity deployment stayed elevated despite the transition into the winter season. Linerlytica notes that service frequencies remained largely unchanged, while rate recovery momentum remained limited under current conditions.

The update also highlights firm activity in the charter market. Both charter rates and second-hand vessel values continued to show strength, supported by steady demand for available tonnage. In parallel, the global orderbook reached a new high, reflecting ongoing interest in newbuilding projects across multiple ship size categories.

On the fleet adjustment front, scrapping activity stayed exceptionally low. Only 14 container vessels, totalling 9,857 TEU, have been recycled in 2025, placing the year among those with the lowest disposal volumes. Linerlytica notes that more than 1,690 vessels over 20 years of age—representing 4.40 million TEU—remain in active service, while the orderbook stands at 11.25 million TEU.

These data points form the foundation of Linerlytica’s weekly market outlook, capturing movements in freight rates, fleet deployment, charter dynamics, and capacity trends shaping the global container shipping sector.

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Source: Linerlytica