- France sees EU consensus on Russian oil ban this week
- OPEC+ sticks to modest oil output hikes
- Rising oil prices ease pressure on Iran over nuclear deal
- U.S. dollar close to 20-year high
A recent news article published in the Reuters by Scott Disavino states that oil edges up on supply jitters as EU plans Russian oil ban.
EU new sanction plans
Oil prices were flat to a little higher on Thursday as a stronger U.S. dollar offset supply concerns after the European Union laid out plans for new sanctions against Russia including an embargo on crude in six months.
In addition, traders noted OPEC+ again rebuffed consumer calls for a faster pace of output rises.
Brent futures rose 74 cents, or 0.7%, to $110.88 a barrel by 11:22 a.m. EDT (1522 GMT), while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose 31 cents, or 0.3%, to $108.12.
The U.S. dollar
A strong dollar makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.
The EU sanctions proposal, which needs unanimous backing from the 27 countries in the bloc, includes phasing out imports of Russian refined products by the end of 2022 and a ban on all shipping and insurance services for transporting Russian oil.
“The oil market has not fully priced in the potential of an EU oil embargo, so higher crude prices are to be expected in the summer months if it’s voted into law,” Rystad Energy head of oil markets research Bjornar Tonhaugen said.
Reaching a consensus
French environment and energy minister Barbara Pompili expressed confidence that EU member states would reach a consensus on sanctions by the end of this week.
“The planned EU oil embargo represents a massive logistical challenge for oil markets,” Investec’s head of commodities, Callum Macpherson said. “Rerouting Russian output from Europe to willing buyers in Asia, in the presence of sanctions, is already so challenging that even Russia has admitted its production will decline significantly.”
Japan would face difficulties
Japan said it would face difficulties in immediately cutting off Russian oil imports over the invasion of Ukraine.
OPEC+, which comprises the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia and their allies, agreed to another modest monthly oil output increase, arguing that the producer group could not be blamed for disruptions to Russian supply.
Ignoring calls from Western nations for accelerating output hikes, the group agreed to raise June production by 432,000 barrels per day, in line with an existing plan to unwind curbs made in 2020 when the COVID-19 pandemic hammered demand.
Iran foresees less pressure
Surging oil prices have lessened the pressure on energy-reliant Iran to revive a 2015 nuclear pact with world powers, which would ease sanctions and add more crude to world markets, three officials familiar with Tehran’s thinking said.
The U.S. State Department said it was preparing both for a scenario in which a nuclear deal was reached and for one in which no agreement is achieved.
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Source: Reuters
