- The oil market anticipates prolonged shipping disruptions in the southern Red Sea due to Houthi attacks.
- Tanker charters reveal a growing trend of vessels avoiding the danger zone, impacting routes and causing a surge in earnings for those redirected to Asia.
- Airstrikes in Yemen have heightened chaos, with warnings for vessels to stay away.
- The situation, initially viewed as solvable within weeks, now poses potential consequences for months.
Heightened Disruptions
Ongoing Houthi attacks in the southern Red Sea prompt the oil market to prepare for extended shipping disruptions. Tanker charters reveal a shift away from the danger zone, impacting pre-arranged routes and leading to increased vessel avoidance.
Surge in Earnings and Detours
Tankers, originally designated for European routes, are now hired to sail to Asia, resulting in a notable surge in earnings. Simultaneously, Iraqi crude shipments take detours around Africa, reflecting the complexity and economic impact of the evolving situation in the Red Sea.
Changing Dynamics and Increased Rates
The disruption has influenced container shipping, with vessels diverting even before US and UK airstrikes. Crude tanker rates have witnessed a climb, with Aframax and Suezmax ships experiencing significant increases, emphasizing the evolving challenges and changing dynamics in global shipping routes.
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Source: Business Standard
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