- Supply chain disruptions are expected to persist and intensify in 2026, increasing cargo-related risks.
- Geopolitical uncertainty, cyber threats, and tariff-related losses are emerging as major concerns for cargo owners.
- Demand for advanced cargo risk management and insurance solutions is set to grow, particularly for sensitive and high-value cargo.
Over the past five years, global supply chains have faced repeated disruptions, reshaping how businesses approach cargo risk. As uncertainty becomes a constant rather than an exception, vessel operators and cargo owners have developed a deeper awareness of vulnerabilities across ocean containerised transport. This evolving risk landscape has driven the growth of specialised systems and insurance products aimed at protecting cargo and business continuity. Looking ahead to 2026, companies must reassess best practices, identify emerging risks, and strengthen their approach to cargo risk management.
Rising Uncertainty in Global Trade
Uncertainty is expected to remain a defining feature of the trade and logistics sector in 2026. According to warnings issued by the World Trade Organization in its mid-2025 Global Trade Outlook, global trade conditions have weakened significantly due to rising tariffs and increased trade policy uncertainty.
These challenges stem from a wide range of factors, including geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, port delays, bankruptcies, and other unforeseen events. While all cargo types are affected, perishable goods such as fruits and vegetables face heightened exposure due to their sensitivity to transit time and temperature fluctuations.
As a result, more businesses are seeking cargo risk management solutions that protect not only the container itself but also the condition and integrity of the cargo inside.
Cyber Risks Emerge as a Major Threat
Technology continues to transform logistics, but it is also introducing new vulnerabilities. As artificial intelligence and digital platforms become more integrated into supply chain operations, cyber-related risks are increasingly affecting cargo movements.
These risks include cyber-attacks, fraudulent documentation, fake transactions, and fictitious logistics operations that can disrupt shipments and cause financial losses. In 2026, such threats are expected to grow, placing additional pressure on businesses operating in digital trade environments.
To address this, logistics providers are increasingly developing cyber-focused insurance products and risk mitigation tools designed to protect businesses from online and digital threats.
Financial Exposure from Tariffs and Regulations
Tariff-related disruptions have already created financial strain for many businesses, and this trend is likely to continue into 2026 and beyond. Sudden regulatory changes and trade barriers can lead to unexpected costs, delayed shipments, and cash flow challenges.
Companies that opt for extended liability coverage or comprehensive cargo insurance are better positioned to manage these complex situations. Such protection can help cushion the financial impact of regulatory shifts while ensuring smoother operations in volatile trade environments.
Preparing for the Year Ahead
To gear up for the upcoming year, taking the necessary precautions and ensuring one’s cargo is key. At times, businesses consider insurance against risks and ponder whether it is a truly necessary cost. “When talking about cargo risk management, it’s like a paradox. You wish businesses had never used or never needed this product. It’s like buying health insurance: you never hope you’ll use it, but it is a necessary product because things could go wrong. And this product gives you peace of mind in protecting your cargo from risk associated with transportation and supply chain,” says Christian Satriadi, Head of Cargo Risk Management at Maersk, stressing the importance of protecting valuable cargo before something happens.
Transportation risks are always a possibility, so it is really vital to partner with a logistics provider that can support risk management solutions to help businesses mitigate real issues across transportation.
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Source: Maersk
